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2011 Melbourne Cup

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Tomorrow sees the running of the race that stops the nation, the Melbourne Cup. Now, I’ve been known to have a punt, and with the spring carnival in full swing, I’ve been loving it, so I thought I’d throw up a few of my tips for the Big 6 in Flemington tomorrow.

A word of warning though, my form lately has resembled something like a one legged man with parkinson’s, shaky at best. But if you’re game, there is money to be made!

Race 5 – Karuta Queen

Race 6 – Secret Liaison

Race 7 – Manghar, Mourayan, Niwot

Race 8 – Lone Command, Right Fong (roughie)

Race 9 -Parables

Race 10 – Bagman

If that gets up, it’ll pay an absolute motza!

For the cup itself, this is one of the most open fields I have seen in ages. Picking a winner is always a lottery in the Melbourne Cup, and this year it is even worse.

Niwot impressed on the weekend in the Lexus and has a light weight. Manighar was 4th in the Caulfield Cup, and will be better for the run. Mourayan was 2nd in the MacKinnon, and has had a solid preparation. Now if that trifecta gets up, look out!

As a roughie, Moyenne Cornich looks good. 2 starts ago this horse took out the Ebor in york (GB), and finished 3rd in a leg freshener off the boat. Carries a good weight, has a good jockey on board in Brett Prebble, and is offering some juicy odds!

Good luck, and don’t blame me if you do your cash!

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Black Caviar – any time, any place…

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This weekend sees the running of the BTC Cup at Doomben in Brisbane, which kicks off the 2011 Brisbane Racing Carnival.

All eyes will be on Black Caviar. As far as main attractions go, this is a big one

Peter Moody and Luke Nolen will be out to prove that no matter where, or when, this mare has got the field covered.

Where ever she has been, victory has been all but assured, and the crowds have followed. From a highly successful stint in Melbourne, including victories in the Lightening Stakes and the Newmarket at Flemington, the William Reid at Moonee Valley, and to Sydney where she was victorious in the TJ Smith at Randwick.

In the TJ Smith Stakes, Black Caviar gave Hay List a 4 length start with 300 to go, and romped home to win.

Black Caviar has now made the trip north, and this Saturday competes in the BTC Cup. Her main competition will come in the form of Hay List, who has also made the trip north, and while there are 6 other horses in the race, they’ll be fighting it out for third.

By winning in Sydney, Black Caviar also answered the question on whether she can run clockwise.

Will she remain unbeaten? You’d be crazy to bet against her – she is just that good.

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AAMI Golden Slipper

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Tomorrow sees the running of the AAMI Golden Slipper at Rosehill Gardens Racecourse. In addition to this there are 4 other Group 1 races on the card, making for a big day of racing for Sydneysiders.

The following are Sports Banter’s tips for the Group 1′s:

Race 3 – Queen of the Turf Stakes
1. More Joyous

Race 4 – Vinery Stud Stakes
3. Do Ra Mi

Race 5 – The BMW
6. Descarado

Race 6 – George Ryder Stakes
13. Aloha

Race 7 – AAMI Golden Slipper
1. Sepoy

Although I’ve picked Sepoy to win the Slipper, I also see a some value in having a bit each-way on number 8, Satin Shoes.

Is Sepoy really that good? Does More Joyous deserve to be the $1.22 favourite? And will Maluckyday ruin Gai Waterhouse’s day?

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Black Caviar – William Reid Stakes

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Black Caviar is without a doubt the best sprinter I have ever seen. This horse makes every other runner look positively pedestrian. Below is her run in the Newmarket Handicap at Flemington on the 12th of March 2011.

This was her 10th win from 10 starts. The only question yet to be answered is how long can she keep the streak going?

Tonight we get to see this world champion sprinter in action again, when she contests the William Reid Stakes at Moonee Valley. Unfortunately for the gambling public, at $1.10 for the win, there isn’t a lot of money to be made. The bookmakers have installed her as an absolute certainty. Considering she is racing against many of the same horses as in the Newmarket, but with a lighter weight on board, this is understandable.

Where to from here?

Well after the William Reid Stakes, this fine mare will head north to compete in the Sydney Autumn racing carnival, before heading to Brisbane. First Australia, then the world? That’s yet to be decided, all I can say is that I doubt I will ever see a horse that loves a sprint as much as Black Caviar.

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Filed Under: Horse Racing