Round 8 of the 2012 AFL season kicks off on Friday night with a 2011 Grand Final rematch between the Cats and Pies from the MCG. This should be an absolute cracker, despite what you would consider an indifferent start to the season for both sides.
Hawthorn v Fremantle on Saturday afternoon should also be a close one as the Hawks will no doubt be looking to prove why they were early season favourites. Fremantle are on a great run of form and currently sit just outside the top 4.
For me though, the match of the round is on Sunday with 3rd taking on 4th, Carlton against Adelaide. This should be an entertaining match with the Blues looking to bounce back from Monday nights effort against the Saints.
With West Coast succumbing to their first loss of the season we have a real dogfight on our hands at the top of the table. I can’t remember a season where literally all of the top 8 sides, and the Cats in 9th are a genuine chance of the flag. No doubt the cream will rise to the top over the coming weeks but for now there aren’t really any indications of a side going for the throat.
Check out our preview of all 9 games of round 8 below and be sure to scroll down to see our tips for the weeks and best bets for each match.
Collingwood v Geelong, MCG, Friday 7.50pm (EST)
The Grand Final rematch has finally arrived and what a time to have it with both sides starting to hit their straps again after a poor start to the season by both teams standards. Geelong had a setback on the weekend however with a bad loss to the Crows and will be looking to pull themselves back into the top 8 with a win in this one.
Signs of 2006 are starting to appear for the Cats, they have not been outside the top 8 this far into the season since then. That was also the last time the Cats missed out on the top 8 altogether so they need to start getting a move on before the season passes them by. Geelong’s most recent victories over Collingwood were by 96 points in round 24 last year and by 38 points in the Grand Final. In fact they have not lost to the Pies since the 2010 preliminary final.
Collingwood are on a run of 4 straight wins and after losing two of their first three matches are now just 4 points off top spot. The Pies lost another player to injury on Saturday night though with Nathan Brown suffering medial ligament damage that will keep him out for around a fortnight. However, they have Dale Thomas, Chris Dawes and Travis Cloke available, and Chris Tarrant is getting closer to full fitness as well.
I think the Pies will get the points here, they have the momentum and stars returning while the Cats are looking for answers. I don’t think they’ll find them here.
Collingwood by 25 points
Port Adelaide v North Melbourne, AAMI Stadium, Saturday 1.45pm (EST)
Port Adelaide head into this match in much the same position they found themselves in last year, languishing towards the bottom of the table with just 1 win to their name. North Melbourne suffered a shock at the weekend, going down to the Western Bulldogs, they we extremely disappointing and it appears that they took the Dogs lightly and were made to pay.
Port Adelaide heave been very disappointing this season but after last season’s debacle I don’t think anyone thought they were going to do well. They have a young side and a coach who doesn’t seem up to the task in Matthew Primus. Sometimes ex players don’t make good coaches and this is a prime example of that.
The Kangaroos will need to be on their game here though or they could suffer another embarrassing defeat. The Kangaroos’ recent record against the Power has been quite good, having won five of their last six clashes. Even at AAMI Stadium, North has beaten Port six out of 11 times, including three of their last four encounters.
No brainer for me this week, Kangaroos by 30.
Hawthorn v Fremantle, Aurora Stadium, Saturday 2.10pm (EST)
Another tough match to call with Fremantle in such good form and the Hawks not having the best start to the season. One thing the Hawks do have going for them is the fact that they have had some tough matches already this season and only really have 4 of what you would consider tough matches left before the finals.
The Hawks were early season favourites but losses to Geelong, West Coast and Sydney had them on the back foot early on. They have hit back to sit just inside the top 8 however this is a crucial match for them. Clarkson welcomes back Stephen Gilham after he did his ACL last year, and their defensive options will receive a further boost in the next week or so with Jarrad Boumann likely to return. That seems to be the trend of the top teams so far with the Pies, Cats and Hawks all suffering from injury concerns.
Fremantle have not been pretty to watch at all this season but they have been getting the job done and that’s all that will matter in the eyes of coach Ross Lyon. This will be a massive test for them though as they will find it hard to restrict the Hawks to the lowly scores they have kept the likes of Brisbane and Port Adelaide.
I think this one will be ugly, but the Hawks by 30.
Sydney Swans v Melbourne Demons, SCG, Saturday 4.40pm (EST)
This could be a landslide if the Demons recent matches are anything to go by. Sydney have now lost to in a row and will be looking to get back to winning ways after winning their first 5 matches. The Demons are yet to win a match and I tip them to get the wooden spoon, this despite the emergence of Gold Coast and GWS in the last two seasons. This shows just how bad the Demons are actually travelling.
The Swans are still without captain Adam Goodes and you could see how much he was missed against the Tigers last week, although their performance overall was quite disappointing really. The Swans really need centre half forward Sam Reid to get back to some form after a great opening few weeks of the season, they need someone to step up in the absence of Goodes and he may be just the man to do it.
The Demons are 0-7 and at the bottom of the AFL ladder, they have struggled all over the pitch to be honest, you can’t pick just one area where they have been worse than others. They have Mitch Clark up front who is kicking goals and Clint Bartram doing his best at the back, they just lack some serious depth to compete with the other sides in the competition at the moment and are going through somewhat of a rebuilding phase it seems.
Swans by 50
Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast, TIO Stadium, Saturday 7.40pm (EST)
The Western Bulldogs caused a massive upset last week by beating the Kangaroos and will be looking to back that up this week to give themselves a 4-4 record. The Suns lost their 7th straight to open the season against the new boys GWS last week in a match that they would have earmarked as a certain 4 points. They’ll be doing it tough to get another win this season, that is until they come up against the Demons.
This match has been taken to Darwin and the Bulldogs absoultely love it there, winning their past 4 matches and convincingly. Ryan Griffen plays his 150th match for the Bulldogs in this one and he has been in great form this season, the Suns may struggle to contain him in this one.
With the Suns yet to win a match still, it’s hard to see how they have improved on last years form. But looking closely you can see that they haven’t been losing by massive margins like they did last season. Against Fremantly they only lost by 7 points and they were looking closer to a win until that capitulation against GWS.
Bulldogs by 40
Essendon v Richmond, MCG, Saturday 7.50pm (EST)
Essendon keep going from strength to strength this season and you would have to say they are serious challengers for the flag on what we have seen so far. I keep expecting them to falter at some point but they haven’t looked like doing that yet. Richmond head into this “Dreamtime at the G” match on the back of a solid win over the Swans last week and they have clearly improved on last year.
Essendon smashed West Coast by 61 points last week, the Perth outfit were previously unbeaten. They welcome back Michael Hurley from a hamstring injury and it’s going to be hard to find a place for him in the side, who do you leave out? The Bombers have Leroy Jetta and Alwyn Davey in superb form up front so far this year, they have kicked 25 goals between them already.
Richmond were unlucky to lose to Carlton, Collingwood, Geelong and West Coast early in the season, they have had the toughest start to the season out of any of the teams and the only way is up from here. Last weeks win against Sydney showed just how far they have come since last season and I can see this one being a close match. Essendon may just have too much firepower up front though.
Essendon by 10
Brisbane Lions v GWS Giants, Gabba, Sunday 1.10pm (EST)
This could be closer than you would think with the Giants getting their first win of their existence last weekend and the Lions going down once again, this time to Geelong where they were absolutely thumped. To me, the Lions are in a similar situation to the Demons, down on confidence and a win doesn’t look like is coming any time soon. GWS will be on a high after last weeks win and this may just see them lose a bit of focus going into this one.
The problem for Brisbane seems to be mainly up front, with Jonathan Brown a machine but not getting enough of the ball to contribute much to the scoresheet. he has only kicked 8 goals so far this season and the Lions will need plenty more from him if they are going to be competitive.
The Giants will need to get over last weeks win quite quickly as their younger players will be susceptable to getting ahead of themselves and will need the older heads to pull them to the side and get them focussed. GWS has impressed with its work at the clearances for a first-year club, currently sitting eight in the AFL with 39 per game thus far.
Brisbane by 10 points
Carlton v Adelaide Crows, Etihad Stadium, Sunday 3.15pm (EST)
Carlton head into this match on the back of a disappointing loss to St Kilda on Monday night and have not really found their form this season despite promising so much late last year. Adelaide were on fire last weekend, downing a Geelong side many had tipped to be challenging for the flag again this year. They’ve been good all season, apart from a blip against the Hawks, and currently sit inside the top 4 alongside Carlton.
This, for me, is the match of the round. Both sides look to play attacking footy, with the midfield of each team packed with energy. Carlton’s stars in Chris Judd and Marc Murphy will have a point to prove after being outperformed by the Saints last week so expect a big performance from them.
Adelaide’s Kurt Tippett came in for plenty of criticism after his performance against the Hawks, he’ll need to step it up even more with Taylor Walker suspended for 2 matches. He was leading the race for the Coleman medal and they will miss his presence, and goals, up front. I think this may just be the difference and Adelaide may not have enough firepower to outscore the Blues.
Carlton by 24
West Coast v St Kilda, Patersons Stadium, Sunday 4.40pm (EST)
Another cracker of a match between two quality sides here. St Kilda showed what they are capable of after disposing of the Blues on Monday night while we all know that the Eagles are a good side following their 6 match unbeaten start to 2012. They had a hickup last week, going down to the Bombers by 61 points, their lack of depth coming back to haunt them after a number of key injuries in the last few weeks.
This week, the Eagles should be boosted by the return of Nic Naitanui, Adam Selwood, Will Schofield and Ash Smith. This will be a massive boost to the Eagles and will go along way to getting them back to winning ways. The Eagles lost the clearances 42-24 last week against the Bombers and the return of Naitanui should get them back on the front foot in that regard.
The Saints small forwards were on fire last week against Carlton with Stephen Milne, Terry Milera and Ahmed Saad combining well and tearing the Blues apart. With Sam Fisher out, the Saints backline looks relatively small but Jason Blake has been a revelation back there and he will need to be at his best this week up against the likes of Naitanui, Lynch and Darling. With West Coast getting a plethora of key players back this week, I think they will have too much for the improving Saints.
West Coast by 20
Sports Banter Tips – 2012 AFL Round 8
Collingwood v Geelong – Collingwood
Port Adelaide v North Melbourne – North Melbourne
Hawthorn v Fremantle – Hawthorn
Sydney v Melbourne - Sydney
Western Bulldogs v Gold Coast – Bulldogs
Essendon v Richmond – Essendon
Brisbane v GWS – Brisbane
Carlton v Adelaide – Carlton
West Coast v St Kilda – West Coast
Banter’s Best Bets – 2012 AFL Round 8
Collingwood v Geelong – Collingwood 1-39 @ $2.50
Port Adelaide v North Melbourne – Kangaroos -15.5 @ $1.91
Hawthorn v Fremantle – TM Hawthorn Over 15.5 @ $1.45
Sydney v Melbourne – Sydney 25+ @ $1.40
Bulldogs v Gold Coast – TM Bulldogs Over 24.5 @ $1.60
Essendon v Richmond – Essendon @ $1.52
Brisbane v GWS – Brisbane 1-39 @ $2.18
Carlton v Adelaide – TM Carlton Over 15.5 @ $1.80
West Coast v St Kilda – West Coast @ $1.40








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