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NRL Draw Released – 2012 Season – Rounds 1-5

Today the NRL draw has been released for the first 5 matches of the upcoming 2012 NRL season. This includes venues, times, television coverage and even Twitter hashtags.

One thing that I noticed looking at this NRL draw is the amount of FTA coverage once again afforded to the Broncos, they have FTA games 5 out of the first 5 rounds. I know Channel 9 are trying to ensure that one FTA Friday game per week goes live into Queensland, but surely the Cowboys and Titans should get more of a share of the pie?

The Knights with Wayne Bennett and Darius Boyd on board look to have taken the Dragons share of FTA matches with 4 of their first 5 matches being shown on Channel 9.

Traditional FTA teams such as the Roosters and Bulldogs only have the 1 match on Channel 9, whereas the Sharks & Raiders have once again been completely ignored.

We can only hope once the independent commission actually comes into force that the spread of FTA games will be more even, we may have to wait until 2013 to see any benefits of this though with the impending TV rights deal.

The NRL and Channel 9 really need to get their act together and stop robbing the fans of seeing their favourite teams on free to air television. It isn’t long now until the Independent commission is installed and TV rights are up for grabs and you would think that the NRL draw would reflect the closeness of the competition. This isn’t the case and it will be interesting to see whether there is any backlash from the fans in the first 5 weeks of the competition in terms of ratings.

Let us know your thoughts on the scheduling for the first 5 games and the NRL draw in general in the comments section below, or hit us up in the forum!

NRL Draw

Steve’s Sportingbet Multi of the Week – 30 September 2011

Last week was a week to forget, going out in game 1 and proceeding to get the rest of the legs right, I’ve gone for the same format this week though with the hope that the local sports are kind to me for a change.

The value this week arrives courtesy of the Warriors being installed as massive underdogs in the NRL Grand Final, paying $4.00 for a 1-12 victory, this will be a close one and I think the Warriors are a big chance.

The British and European football leagues have been good to us so far this season so a number of games have been selected to try and get a bit more value and prop up the Warriors 1-12 and Geelong NRL/AFL double, total odds for this weeks Multi are $53.84, the largest odds we’ve had so far.

Good luck.

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NRL Preview – 2011 Grand Final – Manly Sea Eagles v New Zealand Warriors

NRL Preview – 2011 Grand Final

Who would have thought that we would get to the first Sunday in October and the Melbourne Storm aren’t one of the teams to play in the Grand Final, I was just as shocked as Cameron Smith in his post match press conference after the defeat to the Warriors.

It just shows how badly the finals system needs an overhaul that a team that finished 6th on the ladder can get beaten 40-10 in the first week of the finals and still make it to the Grand Final, good on the Warriors for taking advantage of it but really it just shows how little it means to finish in the top few places compared to the system that the AFL uses, they have their top two teams competing in the big one….

But this is supposed to be an NRL preview, so I’ll get into that now that I have finished my rant!

NRL Preview, NRL News, NRL Live

The Sea Eagles will head into this match as hot favourites on the back of being one of the most consistent teams in the competition for pretty much the entire season, they gave the Storm a bit of a shake at the end in the race for the minor premiership but fell just short, mainly due to the fact they had a number of players suspended from that infamous game at Brookvale Oval in round 25. That left them short of players for the remaining couple of weeks of the competition and ultimately cost them the minor premiership with the Storm finishing just 2 points clear of the Sea Eagles.

The Warriors will go into this match as heavy underdogs and will feel they have nothing to lose in a match that no-one expects them to win. In saying that though, no-one expected them to take out the minor premiers and premiership favourites last week either. If I were the Sea Eagles I would be wary of taking them lightly. This is an area that Des Hasler has mastered during his time as head coach; he has a knack of making people believe that his side are the underdogs despite all evidence pointing to the contrary.

In this NRL Preview, I’m expecting the Warriors to come out of the blocks firing, last week they caught the Storm off guard and they never really recovered from the initial ambush, much like the game in round 7 where the Warriors also got up over the Storm. The Sea Eagles were solid in their win over the Broncos but I wouldn’t say they did anything particularly spectacular, so I daresay that will be the order of the day again on Sunday. Consistency has been their key all season so I can’t see them deviating from a game plan that has worked so well for them all year.

The Warriors on the other hand, are one of the most inconsistent teams in the competition, along with the Tigers, and it’s hard to know which team is actually going to turn up in any given week. It’s hard to believe that the side that beat the Storm and Tigers in consecutive weeks, is the same side that was thrashed by the Broncos just a couple of weeks ago.

This game marks the end of Ivan Cleary’s tenure at the Warriors as he heads across the Tasman to take charge of the Panthers under Phillip Ronald’s reign. His players will want to give him a rousing farewell so that should be added motivation for the Warriors to get the job done on Sunday night. Also finishing up at the Warriors is Lance Hohaia who will move to England to play for St Helens in the English Super League.

On the other side this marks the last game, at least for a couple of years, for William Hopoate as he embarks on a 2 year long Mormon mission and will be away from the game for that entire period. It remains to be seen whether he will return, and even if he does will he be able to get to the same level that saw him make his debut for the Blues this year?

This game will be won in the halves, with both sides possessing young creative players who have burst onto the scene this year. For the Sea Eagles, Dally M Rookie of the Year Daly Cherry-Evans and Kieran Foran will lead the pack around and provide the spark. For the Warriors, the consistent James Maloney and the exciting Shaun Johnson will need to take control of proceedings if they want to lead the Warriors to their first Premiership in their 16 year history.

The line-ups have been named for the respective teams heading into the big game, but don’t be surprised if there are a number of changes made prior to the game, news Thursday suggested that both Anthony Watmough and Tony Williams are suffering from the flu, both missed the Grand Final breakfast but this was most probably just a precautionary measure to ensure no other players are infected.

The Sea Eagles welcome back Glenn Steward and Darcy Lussick from their 3 match bans emanating from the Storm game. Stewart has been one of Manly’s best players this year and will be key to them winning their second Grand Final in 4 years, following up from their 40-0 win over the Storm in 2008. Shane Rodney makes way to the bench to accommodate Stewart while Lussick joins him with 2 players to be omitted prior to kick off.

The Warriors have named the same side that got the job done last weekend against the Storm, he has named Feleti Mateo, Aaron Heremaia and Sam Rapira to start the match but this could change and some or all of them could start the match from the bench like last week. The only change to the side comes in the form of Steve Rapira who is added to an extended interchange.

Despite Manly being the only Sydney team in the Grand Final, more support seems to be heading towards the Warriors with some media outlets dubbing them “the Sydney Warriors” in an attempt to outline Manly’s hatred amongst most Sydneysiders, Manly fans aside. We love to see an underdog get up and this will be no different, no matter which way Des tries to spin it, the Sea Eagles are the favourites for this one and most people, despite their location, will be rooting for the Warriors to get the prize.

I’m one of them, and if the last couple of weeks are anything to go by, I believe they can do it. This should be a cracking match and both sides will leave nothing in the tanks which always makes it a great spectacle for the fans. I’m hoping for a tight match and if the Warriors actually turn up that’s what we should get. If they don’t, this will be a whitewash and no-one wants to see that.

Prediction

In this NRL preview, I’m predicting that the Warriors will get their first premiership and snap a 3 game losing streak against the Sea Eagles. All 3 of those games were settled by less than 10 points and I see this one going the same way. The Warriors by 4 points is my tip for the big one.

NRL Grand Final Tips

NRL Preview - sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Warriors
NRL Preview – Banter’s Best Bet – Warriors 1-12 @ $4.00

NRL News

NRL Draw 2012

NRL Player Movements & Independent Commission
2012 NRL Season Commences Thursday March 1st, be sure to stay tuned to Sports Banter for all of the NRL action, including:
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NRL Grand Final Qualifiers – Week 3 Finals Preview

Week 3 of the NRL finals series is upon us and we are just 1 week away from the big one, the NRL Grand Final. This week sees 2 cracking matches with the Sea Eagles hosting the Broncos from the Sydney Football Stadium, and the Storm hosting the Warriors from AAMI Park in Melbourne.

The Sea Eagles and the Storm have been the form teams of the competition, whereas the Broncos and Warriors have been up and down all year, the Broncos largely due to injuries and State of Origin, and tehe Warriors, well they are just inconsistent and you never know which team is going to turn up.

First up, the Broncos travel to Sydney and the big news of the week was the withdrawal of Darren Lockyer from this match after having surgery on his broken cheekbone and not recovering in time. A massive blow to the Broncos chances and it could see a sad end to this legends career, he now has to hope that his teammates can get the job done and send him out the right way, with a shot at the NRL Premiership. The Broncos are up against history with just 12 wins from the 42 games that Darren Lockyer has been unavailable throughout his career, not including representative omissions. However, they say records are made to be broken and that is the attitude the Broncos need to take into this match.

The Sea Eagles, they have been up there with the Storm as one of the most consistent sides in the NRL, 2 weeks ago they went into half time against the Cowboys 8-0 down, with a second chance up their sleeve and no real presssure of elimination, they managed to score 42 unanswered points in that second half to knock out the Cowboys and earn themselves a week off. They are still without Glenn Stewart who serves the last of his 3 match ban for fighting in that infamous Sea Eagles v Storm game just a few weeks ago. They are also without David Williams and Jason King with season ending injuries, a massive blow to lose two representative players at the back end of the season like that.

Apart from Lockyer, the Broncos are also without Sam Thaiday who sits out the last of his 2 match ban for a dangerous tackle, a massive hole left by the absence of two experienced players could see the Broncos struggle here.

I think the Sea Eagles, fresh from a week off, will be too much for the Broncos although I think they will put up a good fight in order to try and get a fitting farewell for their captain, I just don’t think it will be enough.

The other match sees the Storm taking on the Warriors in a rematch of the round 7 clash that saw the Warriors cause a massive upset, beating the Storm 18-14. The Storm were flying high at that point winning their first 6 games and that loss came as a shock to them. In the reverse fixture the Storm set things right over in New Zealand, beating the Warriors 18-8.

The Storm have been so consistent this season, only a late season form dip stopped them from running away with the minor premiership by more than a couple of games. The key trio of Slater, Smith and Cronk have been in superb form this season but it has been the forwards led by Bryan Norrie and Jesse Bromwich that have been laying a platform for those 3 and Gareth Widdop to weave their magic.

The Warriors have been affected by injuries this season, and their usual inconsistency, but still managed to finish 6th on the ladder. They came home strong against the Tigers last week to earn themselves this Grand Final Qualifier however they were absolutely thrashed by the Broncos the previous week, only saved by the Storm and Sea Eagles knocking out the 7th and 8th placed Cowboys and Knights. They will need to find consistency if they want to have a chance here, just throwing the ball around will not work against a very organised Storm defence and they won’t catch them out again like they did in round 7.

The Storm have just the one change from the side that took care of the Knights in week one of the finals, with Rory Kostjasyn slotting back into the side after missing out through a hamstring injury in week 1. The Warriors also just have the one change with Elijah Taylor coming back into the side at the expense of Ukuma Ta’ai.

The Storm have had the first Sunday in October written all over them this season and I can’t see anything changing this week, they should have too much for the Warriors with Slater, Smith and Cronk pulling the strings.

sportsbanter.com.au Tips – Sea Eagles, Storm.
Banter’s Best Bets – Sea Eagles -6.5 @ $1.72, Storm/Warriors Total Game Score Over (+36.5) @ $1.90.

2011 NRL Semi Finals – Week 2

Week 2 of the finals has arrived and we have a couple of cracking matches in store. Friday night sees the Wests Tigers taking on the New Zealand Warriors from the SFS, and Saturday night sees the Brisbane Broncos hosting the St George-Illawarra Dragons from Suncorp Stadium.

The Tigers were too good for the Dragons last week and they’ve now won their last 9 matches, the Warriors went down heavily to the Broncos last Saturday night and will need to pick themselves back up if they want a crack at a preliminary final next week.

The Tigers have a sniff of 2005 about them, making a late run to the finals before taking out the big one against the Cowboys in the first Sunday in October that year. This year, they have been plagued by injuries but they are starting to get their full contingent back just in time for the big games. This week they welcome back Chris Lawrence who will replace Matt Utai on the wing, a welcome boost to their defence on that side of the park.

The Warriors were woeful against the Broncos last week and have a lot of work to do if they are to knock the Tigers off in their own backyard. Last week they lost their edge in attack and traditionally that has been their best form of defence, they will be hoping that their forwards can get a roll on this week to give Maloney a chance of creating chances for them. This week they are without Joel Moon after he broke his leg in last weeks loss, utility Lewis Brown the man likely to replace him in the centres.

After last weeks effort from the Warriors it’s difficult to know which team will turn up this week, for that reason I think the Tigers will get the win and book a date with Melbourne in a Grand Final Qualifier next week.

The Broncos reward for finishing 3rd on the table and recording a thumping 40-10 win over the Warriors last weekend is to be put up against last years Premiers who finished 5th after the regular season. Not really much of a reward considering on the flip side the Tigers get rewarded for finishing 4th by earning a match against the 6th placed side who were thumped the weekend before.

This game should be a cracker though, it will officially be Darren Lockyer’s last game at Suncorp Stadium and possibly his last ever in a Broncos jersey should they get beaten by the Dragons here. On the other side, this could be the final match for Wayne Bennett and Darius Boyd for the Dragons before they head to the Knights next season, and Mark Gasnier’s final match before he retires should the Dragons lose this one.

Both coaches have named unchanged line-ups from the ones that played in the qualifying finals last weekend, the Dragons are pretty much at full strength with just Kyle Stanley out injured, while the Broncos are without Justin Hodges, Sam Thaiday and Josh Hoffman for this one.

This could be a classic encounter, Wayne Bennett will be looking to continue with the Dragons for at least another week but in doing so he would be ending the career of one of the players he coached for the majority of his own career. I think this one will be a toss of the coin, the Broncos have momentum on their side, but will the Dragons experience from last year be enough to get them over the line. I’m leaning towards the Broncos purely due to the Lockyer factor.

sportsbanter.com.au Tips - Tigers, Broncos.
Banter’s Best Bets - Tigers – 8.5 @ $191, Broncos 1-12 @ $3.25

2011 NRL Qualifying Finals – Week 1 Preview

So here we are, the business end of the competition. We have whittled the number of teams down to just 8 and now we start again. And what a weekend this one promises to be! The McIntyre System has thrown up some absolute crackers for the first week, I can’t remember the last time at least 3 of the 4 games could easily be decided by a toss of the coin.

First up on Friday night we have the Tigers taking on the Dragons from ANZ Stadium. The last time these two sides met the Tigers got the points, this was during the Dragons form slump though and with two wins on the trot they appear to be out of that now. This game has all the ingredients to be a classic, If it lives up to the Tigers finals match against the Roosters last year I think we will all be happy.

The Tigers will be buoyed by the 16-14 win they secured over the Dragons in Round 22, however the Dragons have been there and done it all before, taking out last years premiership. The only thing that concerns me about the Dragons is whether they have their hunger back, Wayne Bennett seems to think so but I wonder if that is just his experience coming to the fore, trying to lift his team before such an important match.

The Tigers welcome back Origin prop Keith Galloway and winger Beau Ryan who both pulled out late last week, while centre Chris Lawrence also returns from a hamstring injury. They push Aaron Woods, Mitch Brown and Matt Utai back to a seven strong interchange bench. Hooker Robbie Farah has been named despite looking to pick up an elbow injury in last weeks game.

The Dragons have named the same side that got the job done against the Panthers last week with just Jon Green added to an extended 5 man interchange.

With the Tigers in cracking form that saw them go from top 8 contenders to a place in the top 4, they will be hard to knock off. Their season has a bit of 2005 about it when they went on a late surge to take out the Cowboys in the final. I think they will have enough in them to get past the Dragons and are good value as the underdogs in this one.

Saturday night also throws up two cracking matches with the Broncos hosting the Warriors at Suncorp Stadium, and the Sea Eagles taking on the Cowboys from the Sydney Football Stadium.

The first of the matches sees two sides who played out a thrilling Round 22 match go head to head, in that one the Broncos got the points 21-20 after some late Darren Lockyer magic. I can’t see any reason that match won’t be repeated and if it is we are in for a real treat.

The Broncos have lost just 2 matches all year at Suncorp which is an impressive record, however the Warriors have been good away from home this year, which is somewhat different to their form in recent seasons where inconsistency on the road cost them plenty of points. For this reason I think we will see another arm wrestle here, key to the contest will obviously be Darren Lockyer, with just a couple of games remaining he will no doubt be pumped for this one.

The Broncos welcome back Justin Hodges from a hamstring injury, but they lose Josh Hoffman with a serious leg injury that will sideline him for the rest of the year. The big loss for the Broncos, however, is that of Sam Thaiday. He took an early guilty plea and will miss 2 weeks, meaning he will not play again this season unless the Broncos make to a Grand Final qualifier.

The Warriors welcome back injured trio Shaun Berrigan, Manu Vatuvei and Aaron Heremaia. A massive boost to their chances in this game.

I think this will be another cracking match, I can see this one possibly going to golden point and I think the experience of Lockyer will shine through, Broncos but not by many.

The final Saturday night match sees two sides who played out one of the matches of the season in Round 8, where the Cowboys got the points 22-20 over the Sea Eagles in a controversial match. The Sea Eagles thought they had the game won late on but had a try disallowed and the Cowboys went on to win the game.

The Sea Eagles ended the season with an 18-10 loss to the Broncos, and the Cowboys ended theirs with an 18-6 loss to the Warriors which saw them drop to 7th on the table. This could come back to hurt them as they will not get a second chance should they lose this game. On the other hand the Sea Eagles will get a second crack regardless of the result, but they will look to earn themselves a week off with a win here.

The Sea Eagles will be without Glen Stewart for another couple of weeks following the brawl at Brookvale Oval, however Kieran Foran and Brett Stewart will return this week along with William Hopoate from injury, this gives the Sea Eagles plenty of strike power and an almost full strength back line with the exception of David Williams.

The Cowboys welcome back Dallas Johnson from the concussion he received a couple of weeks ago, he replaces Leeson Ah Mau in the second row. Apart from this the Cowboys are as per the side that went down to the Warriors last week.

With the Cowboys having it all to play for I can see them causing an upset here, Thurston will be pumped and lives for the big games so expect him to lead them around the park and don’t be surprised if he gets them over the line in a close one.

Sunday afternoon brings a close to week 1 of the NRL finals and sees 1 v 8 on the ladder with the Storm hosting the Knights from AAMI Park in Melbourne. The results of these matches are usually written in stone but in recent years the evening out of the competition has led to the 8th placed team also being competitive, any team in this competition can beat another on their day.

The Storm have suffered 2 consecutive losses, the first time all season, and are coming off a 40-8 thrashing at the hands of the Roosters last weekend, to be fair though, the Storm were severely understrength and rested a number of their stars after learning that the Sea Eagles had been toppled by the Broncos and had no chance of the minor premiership.

The Knights had a good win against the Rabbitohs to propel themselves into the top 8, however they will need to be careful that they don’t let in soft tries late in the game like they did last week, and in the round 8 42-12 loss against the Storm, where they were only down 18-12 at half time and in with a chance.

This week the Storm welcome back Dally M Medal winner Billy Slater, and Captain of the year Cameron Smith to the side after they were rested. They also get a boost to their front row stocks with Bryan Norrie slotting back in beside Jesse Bromwich. Sika Manu and Sisa Waqa also return after their one match suspensions for their part in the brawl of Brookvale a couple of weeks ago.

The Knights welcome back centre Junior Sa’u but will be without Matt Hilder after he reopened the gash on his head. Steve Southern also comes into the side on the bench at the expense of Cameron Ciraldo.

I can’t see the Knights getting a win against the Storm at home, they may trouble them a bit with Gidley, Mullen and Uate in form but with Smith and Slater back I can’t see anything other than a Storm win.

sportsbanter.com.au Tips – Tigers, Broncos, Cowboys, Storm.

Banter’s Best Bets – Tigers + 3.5 @ $1.72, Broncos 1-12 @ $3.30, Cowboys @ $2.90, Storm – 9.0 @ $1.72.

Steve’s Sportingbet Multi of the Week – 26 August 2011

With the European football leagues all back in action I’ve gone for a change in approach this week, relying less on local leagues and instead focusing on the value that can be found overseas. However, I couldn’t help but have something on the NRL and AFL coming into the final weeks of the season.

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NRL Games – Round 25 Preview – Sports Banter

The penultimate round of NRL games kick off on Friday night with a number of sides still in contention for an all important top 8 spot. The Bulldogs loss on the weekend to the Sea Eagles should have sent them packing from the race but they were let off on Monday night with Newcastle going down to the Broncos at AusGrid Stadium.

The Melbourne Storm practically wrapped up the Minor Premiership with their win over the Dragons on Friday night, only two big losses, and two big wins to the Sea Eagles can change that now. Should the Sea Eagles knock off the Storm on Friday night though that could still happen. The Dragons lost their 5th game in a row and are now sitting in 7th place, meaning they would take on the Sea Eagles in week 1 of the finals should things stay as they are.

At the other end of the table, the Titans clawed their way from the bottom of the ladder with a win over the raiders, the Eels now occupy last place courtesy of a 31-12 loss to the Tigers on Sunday. It will be interesting to see who ends up picking up the wooden spoon with the Eels, Raiders and Titans all still in contention.

NRL Games

This week kicks off with a blockbuster NRL game between the Sea Eagles and the Storm from Brookvale Oval, in what could be a preview of this years grand final. Both sides come into the match in top form, the Sea Eagles have won 3 in a row and their only loss in the last 7 came against the Tigers in that thriller last month, the Storm have won 12 on the trot, a club record, and it’s hard to see how they can be stopped. The Sea Eagles go into this one as favourites though, obviously the home ground advantage has something to do with that. Add to that the injury to Cooper Cronk and maybe the Sea Eagles might actually have a chance this week. In team news, the Sea Eagles welcome back Jamie Buhrer, he takes up a spot on the bench, with Shane Rodney also moving back to an extended bench replaced in the second row by Joe Galuvao. The Storm are as per last week with just a positional change for Bromwich and Manu, Manu going back to the second row with Bromwich starting at prop. I think the Sea Eagles will break the Storm’s winning streak and keep the pressure on for the minor premiership.

The other Friday matchup for this weeks NRL games could not be any more of a contrast, with the 16th place Eels taking on the 12th place Roosters from Parramatta Stadium. The Eels come into this match having lost 6 in a row and 9 of their past 10 games, while the Roosters have won two games in a row for the first time all season and come into the match on a high, looking to put the off field dramas that have blighted the club behind them. A win for the Eels could temporarily lift them off the bottom of the table so I think they will give this one a real crack, the Roosters have moved away from the danger zone now so may not go into this one with the same intensity. The Eels have named an unchanged lineup to the one that went down to the Tigers on Sunday, while the Roosters make just the one enforced change with Waerea-Hargreaves suspended for a week, he is replaced by Lana Tasi in the Front row with Tinarau Arona coming into the side on the bench. I think the Eels will come into this one with more intensity but the Roosters are on a high after two good wins and I think they will continue that form here at the expense of the Eels.

Saturday night NRL games kicks off with a beauty that could go a long way to deciding who gets the final spot in the top 8 when the Bulldogs host the Knights at ANZ Stadium. The Bulldogs were handed a lifeline when the Knights were toppled last week and a win here would put them back within reach of a top 8 spot, a loss for the Rabbitohs would have all 3 sides on 26 points should the Bulldogs win this one. The Bulldogs won’t get a better chance than this week as the Knights have been hit hard by injuries stemming from their loss to the Broncos on Monday night. The Knights will be without Junior Sa’u, Cameron Ciraldo and Matt Hilder for this one, they are replaced by Zane Tetevano, Marvin Karawana and Mark Taufua for this vital clash. The Bulldogs on the other hand are unchanged from the side that went down to the Sea Eagles last weekend. With the Knights under strength for this one, I fancy the Bulldogs to get the win and keep the race for 8th place alive until the last week.

The Raiders host the Panthers at Canberra Stadium in the second NRL game on Super Saturday, in an attempt to get themselves clear of the wooden spoon battle below them. A win here could have them 3 points clear of last place depending on the result of the Eels match on Friday night. The Raiders have been smashed by injuries this year but they go into this match with an unchanged side form the one that went down to the Titans last week, something of a rarity for them this season although they are still missing Josh Dugan. The Panthers will be missing Michael Jennings this week after he succumbed to yet another injury last weekend, however they welcome back Lachlan Coote so they won’t lose too much in his absence. This will be Alan Tongue’s final home game and there is no doubt that his teammates will want to send him out on a winning note, for this reason I think the Raiders will get the win here.

The final NRL game on Super Saturday sees the North Queensland Cowboys hosting the Cronulla Sharks from Dairy Farmers Stadium. The Cowboys currently sit 5th on the ladder and a win here will temporarily lift them into the all important top 4, with the Warriors not playing until Sunday afternoon. They’ve lost 3 in a row, culminating in a controversial 26-24 golden point loss to the Rabbitohs last weekend. Plenty has been said about that match and the final play which cost the Cowboys their place in the top 4, and it will be interesting to see how they approach this week on the back of this bad form. The Sharks, they’ve lost their last 6 and sit in 13th place, 6 weeks ago they were looking like bolters for a top 8 spot, now they have nothing left to play for. The Cowboys go into this match with an unchanged lineup from last week and are practically at full strength, the Sharks on the other hand have made a raft of changes. Nathan Gardner, Ben Pomeroy, Nathan Stapleton, Chad Townsend and Tyson are missing this week, replaced by Isaac Gordon, Stewart Mills, Colin Best, Albert Kelly and John Mannah. The Cowboys are specials for this one and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a cricket score racked up against them here.

In the first of the Sunday afternoon NRL games the Dragons host the Warriors at WIN Stadium. The Dragons are on a 5 match losing streak and have fallen down to 7th on the ladder after being almost certainties for a top 4 spot just a month ago. The Warriors have taken the Dragons spot in the top 4 courtesy of 6 wins from their last 7 games. The Dragons face the prospect of playing the Sea Eagles in the first week of the finals with no second chance to fall back on, a far cry from premiership favouritism from earlier in the season. This week they make a few changes to the side that went down to the Storm last week with Mark Gasnier and Brett Morris returning to the side, Dean Young goes back to hooker with Matt Prior taking his place back at lock, Mitch Rein goes back to an extended bench. The Warriors will be missing Manu Vatuvei and Elijah Taylor, they are replaced by Krisnan Inu and Lewis Brown respectively. I think this will be a cracking game with both sides having plenty to play for, at home though I think the Dragons will snap their 5 game losing streak and get the points here.

The other Sunday NRL game sees the Broncos take on the Rabbitohs at Suncorp Stadium. The Broncos currently sit in 3rd place and a top 4 spot is already guaranteed, they’re still a chance of a top 2 spot but would need the Sea Eagles to suffer a heavy defeat at the hands of the Storm to keep that alive. The Rabbitohs are in 9th place and a big win could put them inside the top 8 with just 1 week remaining, should the Knights lose, any win will put them clear on 28 points. Both sides come into the game in top form having recorded 4 wins on the trot and this should be a cracking game, I wouldn’t be surprised if this one went to golden point to be honest. The Broncos lose Hodges for what could be the remaining two games and possibly the first week of the finals with another hamstring injury, Ben Te’o replaces him in the centres. In good news they welcome back Ben Hannant after injury, he takes a spot on the bench. The Rabbitohs welcome back Inglis and Merritt to the side, they push out James Roberts and Fetuli Talanoa and Chris McQueen moves to the wing. Rumours have been circulating that Roy Asotasi may return for this game but he hasn’t been named in the side so it will be interesting to see what happens there. The Rabbitohs have more to play for here, I think they will get the points and it will come down to the Rabbitohs v Knights next week for that final place in the 8.

The final of NRL games of Round 25 comes to us from Campbelltown with the Tigers hosting the Titans. The Tigers head into this one in good form having won 6 in a row, propelling them to 6th on the ladder and a genuine chance of a top 4 spot should they continue that form. The Titans, despite their win last week, are just one point clear of the wooden spoon and they’ll need to win to keep themselves out of that dreaded position. On paper this looks like an easy win for the Tigers, and I can’t see the game playing out any other way to be honest. The Tigers welcome back some big guns in Lote Tuqiri and Gareth Ellis, with Wade McKinnon and Mark Flanagan dropping from the side, some added firepower that could hurt the Titans. John Cartwright welcomes back Luke Bailey to the side but even this won’t be enough to stop a rampaging Tigers side with their eyes on a coveted top 4 spot. Dominique Peyroux drops from the side to accommodate Bailey. Tigers by plenty is my prediction.

NRL Games Round 25 – sportsbanter.com.au Tips

Sea Eagles, Roosters, Bulldogs, Raiders, Cowboys, Dragons, Rabbitohs, Tigers.

NRL Games Round 25 – Banter’s Best Bets

Sea Eagles 1-12 @ $3.10, Roosters + 3.0 @ $1.72, Bulldogs – 4.0 @ $2.00, Raiders 13+ @ $2.90, Sharks + 18.0 @ $1.72, Dragons 1-12 @ $3.10, Rabbitohs + 4.0 @ $2.00, Tigers – 19.0 @ $1.72.

NRL Round 24 Preview

So Round 24 of the NRL kicks off tonight and we’re getting closer to knowing the make-up of the top 8, it seems that each week another team drops out of the race. Last week, the Panthers went down to the Tigers to kill off their season which leaves just 10 teams remaining in the fight for this years premiership.

The Rabbitohs and Bulldogs are still hanging on and can count themselves lucky that the Warriors and Knights faced off last week as that meant they moved 2 points closer to that 8th spot on the ladder. It’s more than likely going to come down to the wire and I wouldn’t be surprised if for and against is all that separates 3 sides for 8th place come the final day of the season.

This week, we kick off with a blockbuster from AAMI Park in Melbourne, with the Storm hosting the Dragons in a match that could see the Storm just about wrap up the minor premiership with a win. On the other side, the Dragons are on a 4 match losing streak and have dropped out of the top 4, they are in danger of falling to as low as 7th should they lose this one. I find it strange that a side can be so consistent as they have been over the last couple of years to go back to being chokers like this. they say that Bennett leaving the club at the end of the year is not the reason for the decline but I tend to disagree. The Storm should get the points here with Gasnier ruled out through injury despite missing Cooper Cronk themselves, this will be 12 straight wins and a club record.

The other Friday game sees the Rabbitohs hosting the Cowboys at ANZ Stadium in a game that could see the Rabbitohs drop out of the running for the top 8 with a loss, or the Cowboys drop out of the top 4 should they lose. The Rabbitohs have been in outstanding form over the last few weeks and have kep their season alive despite their inconsistent start to the year. The Cowboys have done well to remain in the top 4 despite being without key playmaker Thurston for the best part of 6 weeks. This should be an entertaining game as both sides don’t mind the attacking side of the game, the Cowboys welcome back Aaron Payne and I think they will get the job done away from home and it could be bye bye to the Rabbitohs for season 2011.

Saturday night NRL action kicks off this week with the Titans hosting the Raiders from Skilled Park on the Gold Coast in a match that could go a long way to deciding this season’s wooden spoon. Both teams head into the match on the back of thumpings, with the Raiders hammered by the Rabbitohs last week, and the Titans thumped by the Storm. Both sides have plenty to play for with both Preston Campbell and Alan Tongue hanging up their boots at the end of the season, so no doubt their team mates will want to steer them clear of that wooden spoon. The Titans welcome back Anthony Laffranchi this week, and the Raiders are missing Josh Dugan. I think the Titans may get up at home here and breathe life into the race to avoid the wooden spoon.

CUA Stadium plays host to the Panthers and Warriors match on Saturday night and with the Panthers out of the race for the top 8, and the Warriors fighting to finish as high as possible, this could get ugly. We’ve seen over the past few weeks that teams with nothing left to play for have failed to turn up and ended up on the wrong side of some ugly scorelines. I can see this match heading the same way to be honest, the Warriors could sneak into the top 4 on points difference with a win here, should the Dragons and Cowboys both lose. The Panthers welcome back Michael Jennings after his week suspension and Travis Burns from injury, and the Warriors welcome back Lance Hohaia and Elijah Taylor to the side that toppled the Knights last week. The Warriors should get the points here in a match that could see plenty of tries scored.

The Roosters wrap up proceedings on Saturday night when they take on the Sharks at the SFS. After a week of turmoil, the Roosters managed to cause probably the upset of the season by taking the Dragons down last Sunday, and Saturday nigtht they face another one of their bogey sides in the Sharks. The Sharks got the points earlier in the season and the Roosters will be playing for pride once again seeing as they are well and truly out of finals contention. The Sharks are also out of the running for the top 8 and have made several changes to the side that went down to the Bulldogs last week. Ben Pomeroy, Ricky Leutele, Jayson Bukuya and Josh Cordoba all miss out, replaced by Isaac Gordon, Matthew Wright, Jonathan Mannah and Tyson Frizell. The Roosters welcome back Shaun Kenny-Dowall this week, he replaces Kane Linnett who is off to the Cowboys next season. I think the Roosters will get the points at home here but I think it will be a close one.

Sunday afternoon football kicks off with the Sea Eagles hosting the Bulldogs from Brookvale Oval, in a match that could see the Sea Eagles consolidate their top 2 spot, or the Bulldogs keep the race for the top 8 alive should they get the points. The Sea Eagles got the points in a close one last week over the Eels, and can thank a number of high profile blunders from the Eels for the win too. The Bulldogs kept their season alive with a hard fought win over the Sharks on Monday night, getting themselves to within two points of the top 8. The Sea Eagles lose Will Hopoate this week to a hamstring injury, but he is replaced by another former representative winger in David Williams aka Wolfman. Trent Cutler and Micky Paea are replaced this week by Joe Romelo, who returns from suspension, and Chris Armit. I can’t go past the Sea Eagles in this one and I think the Bulldogs could also bow out of the finals race with a loss here, they will then need to rely on Newcastle losing a couple of games to be a chance.

The SFS plays host to it’s second game of Round 24 when the Tigers host the Eels from the home of Rugby League on Sunday afternoon. The Tigers currently sit in 7th place on the ladder, and much like the Warriors they can jump to as high as 4th should results go their way. The Eels, they will be playing to avoid the dreaded wooden spoon, they currently sit in second last place just 1 point ahead of the Titans. The Tigers have been in great form over the past month and for me are the darkhorses in this years competition, they have hit form at the right time of the season and it has 2005 written all over it for me. Both sides have named unchanged line-ups from last weeks matches and this should be a cracking match, just too bad that we won’t get to see this one live on TV as it is the 4 O’clock game on Channel 9 this week. With the Tigers in such good form, I can’t go past them for the win this week, the Eels will need to hope the Titans don’t cause an upset to stay away from bottom spot.

The final game of Round 24 sees the Knights and Broncos facing off at AusGrid Stadium in a timeslot that would be considered unfamiliar for both teams. The Broncos are more accustomed to their Friday nights and the Knights Sunday afternoons, so it will be interesting to see which team handles the move best. The Knights went down to the Warriors last week which put more pressure on them going into the last few weeks of the season, they now sit just 2 points above the Rabbitohs and the Bulldogs in the race for 8th spot. The Broncos have wrapped up a spot in the top 4 and a home final beckons for them. The Knights welcome back Matt Hilder to the side this week, with Keith Lulia making way. The Broncos are unchanged from the side that knocked the Cowboys off last Friday night in what was Darren Lockyer’s 350th match. I think the Broncos will continue their good form and heap more pressure on the Knights going into the last two weeks of the regular season.

sportsbanter.com.au Tips – Storm, Cowboys, Titans, Warriors, Roosters, Sea Eagles, Tigers, Broncos.

Banter’s Best Bets – Storm @ $1.65, Cowboys + 3.5 @ $1.91, Titans 1-12 @ $3.15, Warriors 13+ @ $2.55, Roosters – 3.0 @ $1.72, Sea Eagles 13+ @ $ 2.10, Eels + 11.5 @ $1.72, Broncos – 2.0 @ $1.72.

NRL Round 23 Preview

Penrith Panthers v Wests Tigers – Friday 7.35pm – Centrebet Stadium

The last time these two sides met the Tigers got the points 20-18 in what was a nail biting encounter at Campbelltown Stadium, the Tigers have won the last two clashes in fact, however it is the Panthers who generally have the wood on the Tigers with 5 wins in their last 8 clashes.

The Tigers go into this match looking to jump up at least one spot higher on the table, they currently sit in 8th spot and with the Knights and Warriors doing battle this week a win here will guarantee them at least 7th spot. The Panthers are currently in 11th and a win here will keep their season alive for another week.

The Panthers have a number of changes to the side that went down to the Storm last week. Luke Lewis and Lachlan Coote out with injury means Junior Vaivai and Harry Seijka come into the side with Jennings going to fullback and David Simmons to the wing.

The Tigers just have the one change with Mitch Brown coming into the side for Chris Lawrence, he misses out with a hamstring injury that will see him out for a few weeks.

With the Tigers in good form, and the Panthers trying to avoid a 4th straight loss which would all but end their season, this should be a cracker. I can’t go past the Tigers though who look to have hit form at the perfect time heading into the finals.

Sportingbet Prices
Panthers: $2.80
Tigers: $1.45

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Tigers
Banter’s Best Bet – Tigers – 5.0 @ $1.72

North Queensland Cowboys v Brisbane Broncos – Friday 7.35pm – Dairy Farmers Stadium

Friday night football continues with a match that has all the makings of a blockbuster. This match will see Darren Lockyer break the all-time record for matches played, taking his tally to 350 and going past Terry Lamb and Steve Menzies. It also sees the return of Jonathan Thurston from an extended period out with the injury he suffered in Origin, the game he helped to send Lockyer out a winner in.

The Cowboys and Broncos are separated by just 2 points on the ladder, with the Broncos holding 3rd spot and the Cowboys sitting in 4th. A win for the Cowboys by anything more than a field goal will see them overtake the Broncos and give them a good chance of tying down that top 4 spot with just a few weeks left to play until the finals.

The Cowboys also welcome back Matt Scott and Kalifa Faifai Loa in addition to Thurston, however they received a blow midweek with Aaron Payne ruled out with a fractured cheekbone he received in training. Ben Jones was initially replaced by Thurston in the halves however he may now get a reprieve with a call up to to act as back up for James Segeyaro, who is likely to take Payne’s place in the side.

The Broncos have just the one change with Josh McGuire coming into the starting side at prop to replace the injured Ben Hannant, David Hala moves into the 17 as a result.

With the Cowboys welcoming back their big guns, and the Broncos looking to make Lockyer’s 350th game one to remember, this should be a beauty. I think the Cowboys may just spoil the party though with Thurston back to lead his side further up the table.

Sportingbet Prices
Cowboys: $1.95
Broncos: $1.87

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Cowboys
Banter’s Best Bet – Cowboys 1-12 @ $3.60

New Zealand Warriors v Newcastle Knights – Saturday 5.30pm – Mt. Smart Stadium

Last week the Warriors went down by a point to the Broncos up at Suncorp, the loss ending a 4 game winning streak. The Knights demolished the Raiders at AusGrid Stadium 40-8, they have amassed 90 points in just 2 weeks and are in devastating form at the moment.

The Knights and Warriors sit in 6th and 7th place on the Table respectively, both sides could fall as low as 8th with a loss here should the Tigers get up over the Panthers. The Warriors have the wood over the Knights in recent times, the Knights haven’t won at Mt Smart Stadium in 5 starts, and the Warriors have won 7 of the last 8 clashes between the two sides.

The Warriors welcome back Joel Moon which sees utility Lewis Brown go back to the bench. Jacob Lillyman and Ben Matulino do their customary swap with Lillyman getting to start this week, while Ukuma Ta’ai gets a spot on the bench with Elijah Taylor dropped.

The Knights have a couple of minor changes to the side that put 40 on the Raiders, with Joel Edwards starting at lock and Cameron Ciraldo going back to the bench, Richie Fa’aoso joins him on an extended bench.

With the Warriors at home I think they will get the points in this one, the Knights have been in good form but their record at Mt Smart Stadium and against the Warriors in general does not inspire confidence.

Sportingbet Prices
Warriors: $1.48
Knights: $2.70

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Warriors
Banter’s Best Bet – Warriors 13+ @ $2.65

Gold Coast Titans v Melbourne Storm – Saturday 7.30pm – Skilled Park

Super Saturday continues with a match on paper that looks done and dusted, the Titans are currently battling to avoid the wooden spoon, while the Storm are close to securing the minor premiership after taking the wooden spoon themselves last season, albeit in far different circumstances.

The Storm got the job done against the Panthers last week that stretched their winning streak to 10, one more would equal their longest ever streak of 11 wins. The Titans breathed some life into the battle at the other end of the Table with a 20-16 win over the Sharks at Toyota Stadium.

The Titans lose captain Scott Prince for the rest of the season with a broken arm, and what better way for Preston Campbell to go out then to help lead the Titans for the next few weeks and steer them away from the spoon. Luke Bailey gets the captains arm band for this one, Greg Bird returns with Clinton Toopi but both only make the bench, a decision to be made prior to kickoff to drop 2 players.

The Storm get Jesse Bromwich back from injury, however that is offset by the loss of Adam Woolnough with an Achilles injury that could see him out until the finals and perhaps beyond. Some minor positional changes with Manu to the second row, Kevin Proctor to lock and Hinchcliffe back to the bench.

I can’t see anything other than a comprehensive Storm win here, as much as I’d like to see more life breathed into the battle at both ends of the table, the Storm should not lose this one.

Sportingbet Prices
Titans: $6.00
Storm: $1.13

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Storm
Banter’s Best Bet – Storm – 16.5 @ $1.91

Parramatta Eels v Manly Sea Eagles – Saturday 7.30pm – Parramatta Stadium

Saturday night NRL action concludes with the Eels taking on the Sea Eagles at Parramatta Stadium, the last time these two played the Sea Eagles got up in a thriller, scoring a try in the final minutes to take the game 22-18. The Eels are in a far worse position now though, just 1 point off the wooden spoon and coming off a 50 point hiding at the hands of the Rabbitohs on Monday night.

The Sea Eagles were on the other end last week, demolishing the Roosters 36-8 at Brookvale to consolidate 2nd spot on the ladder.

The Eels saw another player retire after a disappointing season with big Carl Webb announcing earlier this week that he has retired from rugby league, joining Chris Walker and Paul Whatuira. These retirements obviously helped free up some more space under the salary cap with news today that the Eels have signed Willie Tonga from the Cowboys for 2 seasons starting next year.

This week the Eels welcome back Jordan Atkins who replaces Chris Hicks, and Reni Maitua slots back in at lock, Mitchell Allgood goes back to the bench.

The Sea Eagles have lost Jason King for the remainder of the season with a pectoral tear, how many of these have we seen so far this year, he is replaced by George Rose with Tim Robinson drafted onto the bench. Michael Robertson is also welcomed back to the side after his stint on the sidelines with concussion, that sees Michael Oldfield drop from the side.

These two teams seasons could not be any further apart, the Eels should bounce back this week with a better showing not least to give their fans something back after a horror season, but I can’t see them getting close enough to the Sea Eagles to get the points here.

Sportingbet Prices
Eels: $3.75
Sea Eagles: $1.28

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Sea Eagles
Banter’s Best Bet – Sea Eagles 13+ @ $2.15

Canberra Raiders v South Sydney Rabbitohs – Sunday 2pm – Canberra Stadium

Sunday afternoon football kicks off at Canberra Stadium with the Raiders hosting the Rabbitohs. The Raiders were flogged 40-8 by the Knights last week, while the Rabbitohs put 56 points on the Eels to give themselves a slim chance of making the finals with 4 weeks to go.

The Raiders are still in danger of the wooden spoon after the Titans got a win last week, they now sit just 2 points above the Titans and need to get a win or two to try and avoid that spoon.

The Rabbitohs currently sit in 9th place, 4 points adrift of the Warriors, Knights and Tigers, however a win here will see them move to within 2 points of the 8 with the Warriors and Knights doing battle on Saturday afternoon.

The Raiders have a number of changes this week with Reece Robinson, Bronson Harrison, Alan Tongue and Sam Mataora replacing Daniel Vidot, Josh Papalii, Glen Buttriss and Dane Tilse.

The Rabbitohs just have the one minor change from last weeks side with Shaun Corrigan swapping positions with Dylan Farrell on the right hand side of the Rabbitohs attack.

With the Rabbitohs needing a win to keep their season alive, I can’t go past them for the win, the Raiders have too many injuries and even though the match is being played in the nations capital, the Rabbitohs should get the points comfortably.

Sportingbet Prices
Raiders: $2.20
Rabbitohs: $1.70

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Rabbitohs
Banter’s Best Bet – Rabbitohs – 2.5 @ $1.91

St George-Illawarra Dragons v Sydney Roosters – Sunday 3pm – WIN Stadium

Sunday afternoon football concludes with the Dragons hosting the Roosters from WIN Stadium.

What a horror week it has been for the Roosters, first they get smashed by the Sea Eagles on Sunday afternoon, then they follow that up with Carney, Myles and Nuuasuala going out on the town, breaking a booze ban that the team agreed upon earlier in the week. Now they will be without 3 key players this week and they are only 2 points away from picking up the wooden spoon for the second time in 3 seasons.

The Dragons haven’t been fairing much better over the past month though, they are on a 3 match losing streak and a loss here will see them just 1 point ahead of the sixth place Warriors or Knights (depending on who wins that battle). They have only won 1 of their last 8 after being the competition leaders all season, as it appears the choking tag looks to be reattached.

The Dragons retain the same side that went down late to the Tigers last Friday night, with both Jamie Soward and Beau Scott named despite niggling injuries restricting them over the last week.

The Roosters are yet to name the replacements for the 3 players suspended midweek, however Carney is likely to be covered with Anasta moving back to his favoured 5/8 position, with Jarred Waerea-Hargreaves possibly starting at lock, and big Mose Masoe staring in the front row, they also have Symonds and Arona that could take the other second row spot.

This week couldn’t get any worse for the Roosters and what better way to start turning things around than to get one over the team that beat them in last years grand final. I can’t see it happening to be honest but I do think they will respond with an improved performance this week. The Dragons should be too strong at home despite their recent poor form.

Sportingbet Prices
Dragons: $1.11
Roosters: $6.75

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Dragons
Banter’s Best Bet – Roosters + 16.0 @ $2.00

Cronulla Sharks v Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs – Monday 7pm – Toyota Stadium

The final match of round 23 comes to us from Toyota Stadium, with the Sharks taking on the Bulldogs on Monday night.

Last week the Sharks went down to wooden spoon favourites the Titans 20-16, in what was a match they should have won easily as they dominated every stat except the one that matters, the score. The Bulldogs got the points 14-6 against the Cowboys and still have a very slim chance of making the 8, they’ll need plenty of sides to do them favours though.

The Sharks season is officially over after last weeks loss, they can no longer rely on mathematics to get them pumped each week so it will be interesting to see how they handle this week. Looking at score lines over the last month you can see that the blowouts have occurred when one team has nothing to play for and the other does, we have that situation here.

The Sharks welcome back Albert Kelly and Nathan Gardner this week, when these two got injured the Sharks started going downhill and they should add some pace and creativity to the side. Isaac Gordon moves to the wing and Matthew Wright is dropped from the side, Jason Bukuya returns and pushes Tautai out of the side. Paul Aiton is also missing, Colin Best joins Albert Kelly on an extended bench.

The Bulldogs just have a couple of minor changes with Ben Roberts returning to the side, he replaces Josh Reynolds who moves to hooker and forces Joe Romelo out of the side altogether.

The Bulldogs should get the points here and they should move to within 2 points of the top 8, I can’t see the Sharks getting close with nothing to play for.

Sportingbet Prices
Sharks: $2.10
Bulldogs: $1.75

sportsbanter.com.au Tip – Bulldogs
Banter’s Best Bet – Bulldogs 13+ @ $3.40